Pre-tourney Rankings
North Carolina St.
Atlantic Coast
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.6#74
Expected Predictive Rating+6.7#90
Pace69.0#198
Improvement-0.6#205

Offense
Total Offense+6.7#36
First Shot+3.5#78
After Offensive Rebound+3.3#14
Layup/Dunks-0.2#178
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#65
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#216
Freethrows+2.7#23
Improvement+3.3#35

Defense
Total Defense+0.9#149
First Shot+0.6#153
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#144
Layups/Dunks+0.9#142
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#149
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#337
Freethrows+3.5#20
Improvement-3.9#335
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 92   William & Mary L 68-85 67%     0 - 1 -14.0 -10.6 -2.3
  Nov 15, 2015 265   South Alabama W 88-70 93%     1 - 1 +8.7 +4.5 +2.2
  Nov 18, 2015 213   IUPUI W 79-56 90%     2 - 1 +16.8 +1.1 +14.5
  Nov 23, 2015 86   Arizona St. L 76-79 54%     2 - 2 +3.6 +5.6 -2.0
  Nov 24, 2015 75   LSU W 83-72 OT 50%     3 - 2 +18.5 +1.6 +15.6
  Nov 27, 2015 154   Winthrop W 87-79 82%     4 - 2 +5.8 +5.1 +0.2
  Dec 01, 2015 42   Michigan L 59-66 49%     4 - 3 +0.9 -7.2 +7.4
  Dec 05, 2015 171   Bucknell W 99-86 85%     5 - 3 +9.4 +18.3 -9.6
  Dec 13, 2015 215   @ South Florida W 65-46 78%     6 - 3 +18.5 -2.2 +21.8
  Dec 16, 2015 149   High Point W 76-73 82%     7 - 3 +1.1 +4.6 -3.3
  Dec 19, 2015 143   @ Missouri W 73-59 63%     8 - 3 +18.3 +10.4 +9.4
  Dec 22, 2015 210   UNC Greensboro W 58-52 89%     9 - 3 -0.1 -13.8 +14.2
  Dec 29, 2015 127   Northeastern W 72-66 78%     10 - 3 +5.6 +2.5 +3.5
  Jan 02, 2016 61   @ Virginia Tech L 68-73 OT 34%     10 - 4 0 - 1 +6.8 -0.7 +7.6
  Jan 07, 2016 11   Louisville L 72-77 27%     10 - 5 0 - 2 +9.0 +13.1 -4.4
  Jan 10, 2016 111   @ Wake Forest L 74-77 53%     10 - 6 0 - 3 +3.8 +3.5 +0.4
  Jan 13, 2016 46   Florida St. L 78-85 50%     10 - 7 0 - 4 +0.6 +4.7 -3.8
  Jan 16, 2016 3   @ North Carolina L 55-67 8%     10 - 8 0 - 5 +11.1 -2.1 +12.1
  Jan 19, 2016 34   @ Pittsburgh W 78-61 25%     11 - 8 1 - 5 +31.8 +5.8 +25.0
  Jan 23, 2016 17   Duke L 78-88 31%     11 - 9 1 - 6 +2.7 +10.7 -8.3
  Jan 27, 2016 55   Georgia Tech L 83-90 53%     11 - 10 1 - 7 -0.2 +4.5 -4.0
  Jan 30, 2016 14   Miami (FL) W 85-69 30%     12 - 10 2 - 7 +29.2 +16.3 +12.9
  Feb 01, 2016 46   @ Florida St. L 73-77 29%     12 - 11 2 - 8 +9.5 +8.3 +1.1
  Feb 06, 2016 17   @ Duke L 80-88 15%     12 - 12 2 - 9 +10.6 +12.4 -1.8
  Feb 13, 2016 111   Wake Forest W 99-88 74%     13 - 12 3 - 9 +12.0 +16.9 -6.1
  Feb 15, 2016 4   @ Virginia L 53-73 9%     13 - 13 3 - 10 +2.6 -1.3 +0.9
  Feb 20, 2016 48   Clemson W 77-74 50%     14 - 13 4 - 10 +10.6 +14.5 -3.6
  Feb 24, 2016 3   North Carolina L 68-80 18%     14 - 14 4 - 11 +5.3 +2.1 +3.3
  Feb 27, 2016 38   @ Syracuse L 66-75 26%     14 - 15 4 - 12 +5.4 -3.8 +9.9
  Mar 02, 2016 206   Boston College W 73-72 89%     15 - 15 5 - 12 -4.8 +8.0 -12.8
  Mar 05, 2016 36   @ Notre Dame L 75-89 25%     15 - 16 5 - 13 +0.6 +1.3 -0.1
  Mar 08, 2016 111   Wake Forest W 75-72 64%     16 - 16 +6.9 +1.6 +5.2
  Mar 09, 2016 17   Duke L 89-92 22%     16 - 17 +12.7 +21.6 -9.0
Projected Record 16.0 - 17.0 5.0 - 13.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 100.0 100.0 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%